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Advanced Valuation

Full analysis | Business model · Statements · Shares · Competitors · Analysts · Risks

Sony Group CorporationSONY
Technology · Consumer Electronics
Price
$24.77
Market Cap
$31.0B
TTM Revenue
$82.3B
TTM Net Income
$-1.4B
TTM FCF
$10.2B
P/E
N/A
📈
Recommended Analysis ModelConfidence: Low

Loss-Making Growth

The company is still loss-making. Earnings multiples and EPS do not apply. Revenue and TAM models are more appropriate.

Preferred Models
Revenue Model
TAM Model
Path to Profitability
Not Suitable
P/E (negative EPS)
FCF Model (negative cash flow)

Negative EPS — the EPS model does not fit this company right now. Use a revenue or TAM model.

Attractive📈 Loss-Making Growth
Current Price$24.77
Model Fair Value$67.27
Entry Price (80%)$53.81
Upside to Fair Value171.6%
Annual Return to Target28.0%
Margin of Safety63.2%
Implied Growth—
Active Model📈 Revenue Model

1. Choose Valuation Model

Valuation Model
Recommended:📈Revenue Model
Selected:📈Revenue Model
Mode:Auto

The model you chose is a weaker fit for this company type

Negative EPS — the EPS model does not fit this company right now. Use a revenue or TAM model.

2. Valuation Results

Base Data

Current Price
$24.77
Shares (M)
1,251
TTM Revenue
$82.29B
TTM Net Income
-$1.41B
TTM FCF
$10.19B
Net Debt
-$1.84B
Market Cap
$30.98B
Current P/E
N/A
Current P/FCF
3.0
Source: FMP financial statements + FMP cash flow statements + FMP balance sheet + income statements · TTM based on 4 quarters · 20 / 10 / 2026

Assumptions

Years Forward5 years
Revenue Growth (CAGR)4.9%
Net Margin9.9%
FCF Margin12.4%
Exit P/E Multiple20x
Exit P/FCF Multiple8x
Annual Share Count Change0.0%
Required Annual Return10.0%

Results

📈 Revenue Model

Attractive
Future Revenue
ⓘ$104.65B
Future Net Income
$10.37B
Future FCF
$12.96B
Future EPS
ⓘ$8.29
Target Price in 5 years — Revenue Model
$85.14
Current EV/Sales 1.0x
1.0x
Estimated current fair value per share (Revenue Model)
$67.27

Current estimated fair value per share based on report data and the active model's formula: TTM revenue × EV/Sales multiple, minus net debt, divided by shares

Annual Return
28.0%
Upside
171.6%
Margin of Safety
63.2%

Valuation Drivers — What Moves the Needle Most?

0%1%2%3%4%Revenue GrowthExit P/ENet MarginFCF MarginRequired ReturnShare CountChange

Impact percentage of a 10% change in each parameter on the fair value

3. Scenarios

Conservative

Attractive
Revenue Growth
8.0%
Net Margin
18.0%
Current EV/Sales 1.0x
1.0x
Fair Value Today
$67.27
Annual Return
31.7%

Base

Attractive
Revenue Growth
15.0%
Net Margin
22.0%
Current EV/Sales 1.0x
1.0x
Fair Value Today
$67.27
Annual Return
40.1%

Optimistic

Attractive
Revenue Growth
25.0%
Net Margin
28.0%
Current EV/Sales 1.0x
1.0x
Fair Value Today
$67.27
Annual Return
52.2%

Probability-Weighted Fair Value

Conservative30%
Base50%
Optimistic20%
Weighted Fair Value
$67.27
Weighted Upside
171.6%
Current Price
$24.77

4. Sensitivity Table — Fair Value Today ($)

Sensitivity Table

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6. Desired Entry Price

Desired Entry Price

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7. Assumption Reasonableness Check

Assumption Risk ScoreLow Risk — 0/100
Revenue Growth: 4.9%OK

Tech sector: ~10-25% | S&P500: ~5-10%

Net Margin: 9.9%OK

Current: -1.7% | S&P500 avg: ~12-15%

Exit P/E Multiple: 20xOK

S&P500 historical avg: ~15-25x

FCF Margin: 12.4%OK

Current: 12.4%

8. Save Scenario

The calculator results should not be construed as personal investment advice. All calculations are estimates only. The investor is responsible for reviewing the data.