Advanced Valuation
Full analysis | Business model · Statements · Shares · Competitors · Analysts · Risks
The Walt Disney CompanyDIS
Communication Services · Entertainment
Price
$109.56
Market Cap
$189.2B
TTM Revenue
$98.9B
TTM Net Income
$8.6B
TTM FCF
$8.3B
P/E
22.0
☁️
Recommended Analysis ModelConfidence: High
SaaS / Software
Software/SaaS company. Rule of 40 and the revenue model are central. FCF matters once profitable.
Preferred Models
Revenue Growth
EV/Sales
Rule of 40
FCF Model
Expensive☁️ SaaS / Software
Current Price$109.56
Model Fair Value$89.58
Entry Price (80%)$71.66
Upside to Fair Value-18.2%
Annual Return to Target0.1%
Margin of Safety-22.3%
Implied Growth—
Active Model📈 Revenue Model
1. Choose Valuation Model
Valuation Model
Recommended:📈Revenue Model
Selected:📈Revenue Model
Mode:Auto
2. Valuation Results
Base Data
Current Price
$109.56
Shares (M)
1,727
TTM Revenue
$98.86B
TTM Net Income
$8.60B
TTM FCF
$8.29B
Net Debt
$40.86B
Market Cap
$189.18B
Current P/E
22.0
Current P/FCF
22.8
Source: FMP financial statements + FMP cash flow statements + FMP balance sheet + income statements + StockAnalysis complete statements · TTM based on 4 quarters · 20 / 10 / 2026
Assumptions
Years Forward5 years
Revenue Growth (CAGR)3.4%
Net Margin8.7%
FCF Margin8.4%
Exit P/E Multiple22x
Exit P/FCF Multiple23x
Annual Share Count Change0.0%
Required Annual Return10.0%
Results
📈 Revenue Model
Future Revenue
ⓘ$116.59B
Future Net Income
$10.14B
Future FCF
$9.78B
Future EPS
ⓘ$5.87
Target Price in 5 years — Revenue Model
$109.88
Current EV/Sales 2.0x
2.0x
Estimated current fair value per share (Revenue Model)
$89.58
Current estimated fair value per share based on report data and the active model's formula: TTM revenue × EV/Sales multiple, minus net debt, divided by shares
Annual Return
0.1%
Upside
-18.2%
Margin of Safety
-22.3%
Valuation Drivers — What Moves the Needle Most?
Impact percentage of a 10% change in each parameter on the fair value
3. Scenarios
Conservative
ExpensiveRevenue Growth
8.0%
Net Margin
18.0%
Current EV/Sales 2.0x
2.0x
Fair Value Today
$89.58
Annual Return
5.4%
Base
ExpensiveRevenue Growth
15.0%
Net Margin
22.0%
Current EV/Sales 2.0x
2.0x
Fair Value Today
$89.58
Annual Return
13.3%
Optimistic
ExpensiveRevenue Growth
25.0%
Net Margin
28.0%
Current EV/Sales 2.0x
2.0x
Fair Value Today
$89.58
Annual Return
24.1%
Probability-Weighted Fair Value
Conservative30%
Base50%
Optimistic20%
Weighted Fair Value
$89.58
Weighted Upside
-18.2%
Current Price
$109.56
4. Sensitivity Table — Fair Value Today ($)
6. Desired Entry Price
7. Assumption Reasonableness Check
Assumption Risk ScoreLow Risk — 0/100
Revenue Growth: 3.4%OK
Tech sector: ~10-25% | S&P500: ~5-10%
Net Margin: 8.7%OK
Current: 8.7% | S&P500 avg: ~12-15%
Exit P/E Multiple: 22xOK
Current P/E: 22.0x | Historical avg: ~15-25x
FCF Margin: 8.4%OK
Current: 8.4%
8. Save Scenario
The calculator results should not be construed as personal investment advice. All calculations are estimates only. The investor is responsible for reviewing the data.


