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The Walt Disney CompanyDIS
Communication Services · Entertainment
Price
$109.56
Market Cap
$189.2B
TTM Revenue
$98.9B
TTM Net Income
$8.6B
TTM FCF
$8.3B
P/E
22.0
☁️
Recommended Analysis ModelConfidence: High

SaaS / Software

Software/SaaS company. Rule of 40 and the revenue model are central. FCF matters once profitable.

Preferred Models
Revenue Growth
EV/Sales
Rule of 40
FCF Model
Expensive☁️ SaaS / Software
Current Price$109.56
Model Fair Value$89.58
Entry Price (80%)$71.66
Upside to Fair Value-18.2%
Annual Return to Target0.1%
Margin of Safety-22.3%
Implied Growth—
Active Model📈 Revenue Model

1. Choose Valuation Model

Valuation Model
Recommended:📈Revenue Model
Selected:📈Revenue Model
Mode:Auto

2. Valuation Results

Base Data

Current Price
$109.56
Shares (M)
1,727
TTM Revenue
$98.86B
TTM Net Income
$8.60B
TTM FCF
$8.29B
Net Debt
$40.86B
Market Cap
$189.18B
Current P/E
22.0
Current P/FCF
22.8
Source: FMP financial statements + FMP cash flow statements + FMP balance sheet + income statements + StockAnalysis complete statements · TTM based on 4 quarters · 20 / 10 / 2026

Assumptions

Years Forward5 years
Revenue Growth (CAGR)3.4%
Net Margin8.7%
FCF Margin8.4%
Exit P/E Multiple22x
Exit P/FCF Multiple23x
Annual Share Count Change0.0%
Required Annual Return10.0%

Results

📈 Revenue Model

Expensive
Future Revenue
ⓘ$116.59B
Future Net Income
$10.14B
Future FCF
$9.78B
Future EPS
ⓘ$5.87
Target Price in 5 years — Revenue Model
$109.88
Current EV/Sales 2.0x
2.0x
Estimated current fair value per share (Revenue Model)
$89.58

Current estimated fair value per share based on report data and the active model's formula: TTM revenue × EV/Sales multiple, minus net debt, divided by shares

Annual Return
0.1%
Upside
-18.2%
Margin of Safety
-22.3%

Valuation Drivers — What Moves the Needle Most?

0%1%2%3%4%Revenue GrowthExit P/ENet MarginFCF MarginRequired ReturnShare CountChange

Impact percentage of a 10% change in each parameter on the fair value

3. Scenarios

Conservative

Expensive
Revenue Growth
8.0%
Net Margin
18.0%
Current EV/Sales 2.0x
2.0x
Fair Value Today
$89.58
Annual Return
5.4%

Base

Expensive
Revenue Growth
15.0%
Net Margin
22.0%
Current EV/Sales 2.0x
2.0x
Fair Value Today
$89.58
Annual Return
13.3%

Optimistic

Expensive
Revenue Growth
25.0%
Net Margin
28.0%
Current EV/Sales 2.0x
2.0x
Fair Value Today
$89.58
Annual Return
24.1%

Probability-Weighted Fair Value

Conservative30%
Base50%
Optimistic20%
Weighted Fair Value
$89.58
Weighted Upside
-18.2%
Current Price
$109.56

4. Sensitivity Table — Fair Value Today ($)

Sensitivity Table

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6. Desired Entry Price

Desired Entry Price

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7. Assumption Reasonableness Check

Assumption Risk ScoreLow Risk — 0/100
Revenue Growth: 3.4%OK

Tech sector: ~10-25% | S&P500: ~5-10%

Net Margin: 8.7%OK

Current: 8.7% | S&P500 avg: ~12-15%

Exit P/E Multiple: 22xOK

Current P/E: 22.0x | Historical avg: ~15-25x

FCF Margin: 8.4%OK

Current: 8.4%

8. Save Scenario

The calculator results should not be construed as personal investment advice. All calculations are estimates only. The investor is responsible for reviewing the data.