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Coinbase Global, Inc.COIN
Financial Services · Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
Price
$168.45
Market Cap
$44.4B
TTM Revenue
$6.3B
TTM Net Income
$-1.0B
TTM FCF
$2.7B
P/E
N/A
🏦
Recommended Analysis ModelConfidence: High

Bank / Financial Institution

Banks have a different financial structure. FCF and EV do not apply. Book multiple and ROE are the foundation.

Preferred Models
P/Book Value
ROE Model
Dividend Capacity
Not Suitable
FCF Model
EV/EBITDA
Standard DCF

FCF and EV are not suitable tools for banks. Use book multiple, ROE and dividend capacity.

Very expensive🏦 Bank / Financial Institution
Current Price$168.45
Model Fair Value$29.74
Entry Price (80%)$23.80
Upside to Fair Value-82.3%
Annual Return to Target-32.0%
Margin of Safety-466.3%
Implied Growth—
Active Model🏦 Book Value + ROE

1. Choose Valuation Model

Valuation Model
Recommended:🏦Book Value + ROE
Selected:🏦Book Value + ROE
Mode:Auto

The model you chose is a weaker fit for this company type

FCF and EV are not suitable tools for banks. Use book multiple, ROE and dividend capacity.

2. Valuation Results

Base Data

Current Price
$168.45
Shares (M)
264
TTM Revenue
$6.28B
TTM Net Income
-$987.77M
TTM FCF
$2.66B
Net Debt
-$2.40B
Market Cap
$44.44B
Current P/E
N/A
Current P/FCF
16.7
Source: FMP financial statements + FMP cash flow statements + FMP balance sheet + income statements + StockAnalysis complete statements · TTM based on 4 quarters · 20 / 10 / 2026

Assumptions

Years Forward5 years
Revenue Growth (CAGR)9.4%
Net Margin25.0%
FCF Margin40.0%
Exit P/E Multiple20x
Exit P/FCF Multiple17x
Annual Share Count Change0.0%
Required Annual Return10.0%

Results

🏦 Book Value + ROE

Very expensive
Future Revenue
ⓘ$9.85B
Future Net Income
$2.46B
Future FCF
$3.94B
Future EPS
ⓘ$9.33
Target Price in 5 years — Book Value + ROE
$24.54
Current P/B 0.6x
0.6x
Estimated current fair value per share (Book Value + ROE)
$29.74

Current estimated fair value per share based on report data and the active model's formula: Current book value per share × P/B multiple derived from ROE

Annual Return
-32.0%
Upside
-82.3%
Margin of Safety
-466.3%

Valuation Drivers — What Moves the Needle Most?

0%1%2%3%4%Revenue GrowthExit P/ENet MarginFCF MarginRequired ReturnShare CountChange

Impact percentage of a 10% change in each parameter on the fair value

3. Scenarios

Conservative

Very expensive
Revenue Growth
8.0%
Net Margin
18.0%
Current P/B 0.6x
0.6x
Fair Value Today
$29.74
Annual Return
-32.0%

Base

Very expensive
Revenue Growth
15.0%
Net Margin
22.0%
Current P/B 0.6x
0.6x
Fair Value Today
$29.74
Annual Return
-32.0%

Optimistic

Very expensive
Revenue Growth
25.0%
Net Margin
28.0%
Current P/B 0.6x
0.6x
Fair Value Today
$29.74
Annual Return
-32.0%

Probability-Weighted Fair Value

Conservative30%
Base50%
Optimistic20%
Weighted Fair Value
$29.74
Weighted Upside
-82.3%
Current Price
$168.45

4. Sensitivity Table — Fair Value Today ($)

Sensitivity Table

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6. Desired Entry Price

Desired Entry Price

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7. Assumption Reasonableness Check

Assumption Risk ScoreLow Risk — 15/100
Revenue Growth: 9.4%OK

Tech sector: ~10-25% | S&P500: ~5-10%

Net Margin: 25.0%Reasonable

Current: -15.7% | S&P500 avg: ~12-15%

Exit P/E Multiple: 20xOK

S&P500 historical avg: ~15-25x

FCF Margin: 40.0%Aggressive

Current: 42.3%

8. Save Scenario

The calculator results should not be construed as personal investment advice. All calculations are estimates only. The investor is responsible for reviewing the data.