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Coinbase CEO Says Bitcoin Has Bottomed, but the Bigger Signal Is the Stablecoin Growth Story

Coinbase CEO Says Bitcoin Has Bottomed, but the Bigger Signal Is the Stablecoin Growth Story

Brian Armstrong says Bitcoin may have bottomed for the current cycle and could trend higher into the next halving. More important for Coinbase investors, he also highlighted 700% year-over-year growth in stablecoin payments on Base.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong is publicly calling a bottom in Bitcoin, but the more investable part of his message may be what he said about Coinbase’s business beyond Bitcoin.

Armstrong told Bloomberg Television that he believes the current Bitcoin cycle has already reached its low and expects the asset to trend higher over the coming year or two as the next halving approaches.

The Block independently reported the comments on September 10.

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That is a management opinion, not a company forecast and not a guaranteed market outcome.

Bitcoin can move sharply based on liquidity, regulation, leverage, macro conditions and investor positioning long before the next halving arrives.

Armstrong’s market view is therefore useful mainly as a window into how Coinbase leadership sees the cycle.

The more important operating signal for Coinbase is the growth he cited in stablecoin activity.

Armstrong said stablecoin payments on Base increased 700% year over year.

He also pointed to payments, tokenization, prediction markets and agentic finance as major areas of opportunity heading into 2027.

Those businesses matter because Coinbase’s long-term valuation depends on reducing reliance on transaction fees tied to crypto trading cycles.

Trading revenue can expand rapidly in bull markets and contract just as quickly when activity falls.

Stablecoin payments and infrastructure can create a more recurring revenue base if usage grows beyond speculation.

Base gives Coinbase another route into that market.

If more payments, tokenized assets and automated agents settle on Base, Coinbase can benefit from network activity without requiring every user to actively trade Bitcoin or Ethereum.

The opportunity is large, but investors should separate adoption metrics from monetization.

A 700% growth rate can look dramatic when the starting base is small.

The figure becomes more useful when Coinbase discloses the absolute payment volume, revenue contribution and margins associated with that activity.

The same caution applies to Armstrong’s Bitcoin outlook.

The source says Bitcoin had rebounded strongly from its summer lows by the time of the interview.

Calling a bottom after a large recovery is different from identifying one in real time.

For Coinbase shareholders, a sustained Bitcoin recovery would still be positive.

Higher crypto prices tend to support trading activity, asset values and retail engagement.

But the quality of the equity story improves if Coinbase can grow payments and infrastructure regardless of Bitcoin’s direction.

That is the strategic shift investors should watch.

A company valued primarily as a crypto exchange is exposed to transaction cycles.

A company that becomes a broader platform for stablecoins, tokenization, prediction markets and machine-to-machine finance can potentially earn a more durable valuation.

The risk is execution.

Coinbase is competing with banks, payments companies, other exchanges and blockchain-native platforms for the same new financial infrastructure.

It must show that Base activity converts into economics for shareholders rather than simply ecosystem growth.

BTI’s bottom line: Armstrong’s Bitcoin-bottom call is attention-grabbing, but it is still a market opinion. The more important Coinbase signal is 700% year-over-year growth in stablecoin payments on Base and management’s push into payments, tokenization and agentic finance. If those businesses become material, Coinbase can become less dependent on the next Bitcoin cycle.

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