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S&P 500
7,691.39+0.42%
After Hours7,697.36+0.08%
Nasdaq Composite
26,430.89+1.11%
After Hours26,396.43-0.13%
Dow Jones
51,966.03-0.07%
After Hours52,071.59+0.20%
Russell 2000
2,728.30+0.25%
After Hours2,729.59+0.05%
VIX
VIX
18.44-7.75%
Bitcoin
81,573.85-0.33%
Ethereum
2,394.39-0.44%
Solana
104.54-0.37%
Gold
4,143.60-0.40%
Silver
56.79-0.84%
Copper
6.547-0.58%
WTI Crude Oil
98.78+0.24%
US 10-Year Treasury Yield
5.135+0.75%

Risk Management Terminal

Institutional risk analytics, stress testing, VIX intelligence, and portfolio protection.

RISK TERMINAL
Risk Score74/100
VaR 95%-$2,450 (-1.02%)
CVaR 95%-$4,180 (-1.74%)
Tail Risk76/100 · Elevated
VIX16.05 · Normal
CurveContango
Avg Stress Corr0.78
Worst Scenario-38.2% (2008)
Risk Δ Today+6 pts
20 / 10 / 2026
Risk Overview
How risky is the portfolio now? What is creating the risk? What is the estimated downside?
Portfolio Risk Summary
ELEVATED
74/ 100
Risk Score Distribution
0 — Low50 — Med100 — High
Portfolio risk is ELEVATED. Dominated by high-beta and crypto exposure.
Top Risk Drivers
#1
BTC weight vs risk
5% weight → 21.7% risk contribution
#2
High-beta tech (NVDA, TSLA)
Beta >1.6 amplifies drawdowns
#3
VIX elevated +12% weekly
Signals rising implied vol
Defensive
GLD
TLT
Utilities
Neutral
SPY
MSFT
AAPL
High Risk
NVDA
BTC
TSLA
Risk rose +6 pts today driven by NVDA volatility spike and rising VIX. Consider trimming NVDA or hedging BTC to restore balance.
Risk Contribution Engine
SymbolNameWeightVolatilityBetaRisk Contrib.LevelAction
BTCBitcoin
5%
58%0.35
21.7%⚠
ExtremeHedge
NVDANVIDIA Corp
8%
42%1.65
18.4%⚠
HighTrim
TSLATesla Inc
6.5%
48%1.72
15.3%⚠
HighTrim
AMZNAmazon.com
5%
31%1.20
11.2%⚠
MediumHold
PLTRPalantir
3.5%
55%1.60
9.7%⚠
HighTrim
AAPLApple Inc
7%
24%1.10
9.2%
MediumHold
MSFTMicrosoft
7.5%
22%0.95
8.6%
MediumHold
SPYS&P 500 ETF
10%
14%1.00
5.8%
LowCore
GLDGold ETF
6%
15%-0.10
3.8%
LowDiversifier
TLTLong Bond ETF
5%
12%-0.25
2.1%
LowHedge
BTC is only 5% of the portfolio but contributes 21.7% of total risk — consider trimming or hedging.
VaR / CVaR Engine
Daily VaR 95%
-1.02%
$-2,450
Daily CVaR 95%
-1.74%
$-4,180
Weekly VaR 95%
-3.16%
$-7,900
Monthly VaR 95%
-6.24%
$-15,600
Exp. Shortfall 95%
-2.1%
$-5,250
Portfolio Value
$250,000
Loss Distribution Curve
-4.50-4.00-3.50-3.00-2.50-2.00-1.50-1.00-0.500.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.004.505.00
CVaR estimates the average loss in worst cases beyond VaR. It captures tail risk that VaR misses.
Market Risk Indicators
Fear & Greed, volatility regime, sector momentum, and leading risk signals.
Market Risk Indicators— Fear & Greed, volatility regime, sector momentum, and leading risk signals.
Updated 01:44 AM
S&P 5007,690.73+0.41%
7,740.00+0.07%
Nasdaq26,430.89+1.11%
29,669.00-0.18%
Dow Jones51,966.03-0.07%
52,300.00+0.23%
Russell 20002,728.30+0.25%
2,743.70+0.05%
Fear & Greed Index
Stock market sentiment
65/100Greed
FearNeutralGreed
VIX
18.44
S&P Today
+0.41%

Greed is rising. Risk appetite elevated. Monitor for reversal signals.

Risk Regime & Sentiment
Market environment score & sector positioning
57/100BULLISH
VIX
18.44
S&P Momentum
+0.41%
Sentiment Score
65/100
Liquidity
Normal
Positioning: Neutral
HealthcareInfrastructureFinancials
Main Driver

VIX remains normal while equities show mixed momentum.

BTI Crypto Fear & Greed
BTC, ETH, volatility and market stress model
54/100Neutral
FearNeutralGreed
BTC Today
-1.06%
ETH Today
-1.18%
BTC Range %
2.4%
Raw Score
54/100
Model Components
BTC Momentum (30%)
47
ETH Momentum (20%)
47
Volatility Calm (20%)
83
Panic Sync (15%)
46
Relative Safety (15%)
51

Crypto sentiment is neutral. No clear directional bias.

Crypto Regime & Sentiment
Crypto market environment & positioning
51/100NEUTRAL
BTC Momentum
-1.06%
ETH Momentum
-1.18%
Sentiment Score
54/100
Risk Level
Moderate
Positioning: Neutral
BTCETHLarge-cap alts
Main Driver

Neutral sentiment. Crypto markets show no clear directional bias.

Sector Momentum
Daily sector performance
DRAMDRAMAI Memory / HBM+4.05%Strong
XBIXBIBiotech Small/Mid+2.45%Strong
XLYXLYConsumer Discretionary+1.78%Strong
SOXXSOXXSemiconductor Broad+1.73%Strong
SKYYSKYYCloud Computing+1.62%Strong
SMHSMHSemiconductors+1.61%Strong
IGVIGVSoftware+1.58%Strong
XLKXLKTechnology+1.36%Neutral
CIBRCIBRCybersecurity+1.11%Neutral
IBBIBBBiotech Large Cap+1.02%Neutral
QTUMQTUMQuantum Computing+0.79%Neutral
XLBXLBMaterials+0.06%Neutral
XLCXLCCommunication Services-0.21%Weak
XRTXRTRetail-0.23%Weak
COPXCOPXCopper Miners-0.36%Weak
ICLNICLNClean Energy-0.43%Weak
URAURAUranium-0.45%Weak
XLPXLPConsumer Staples-0.47%Weak
KWEBKWEBChina Internet-0.53%Weak
XLVXLVHealthcare-0.60%Weak
ITAITAAerospace & Defense-0.63%Weak
XLIXLIIndustrials-0.64%Weak
XLEXLEEnergy-0.64%Weak
KBEKBEBanks-0.79%Weak
KREKRERegional Banks-0.79%Weak
IYTIYTTransportation-0.81%Weak
XLFXLFFinancials-0.83%Weak
XLREXLREReal Estate-1.16%Defensive
GDXGDXGold Miners-1.41%Defensive
ITBITBHomebuilders-1.69%Defensive
XLUXLUUtilities-2.01%Defensive
Unusual Stock Momentum
Stocks moving significantly today
IRONIRONDisc Medicine, Inc.+38.86%Risk
CLFCLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.+16.34%Risk
MANEMANEVeradermics, Incorporated+12.37%Risk
AGIOAGIOAgios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.+11.43%Risk
PBLSPBLSParabilis Medicines, Inc.+11.43%Risk
ARQTARQTArcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.+10.65%Risk
AXTIAXTIAXT Inc+10.34%Risk
VRDNVRDNViridian Therapeutics, Inc.+9.30%Risk
Market Risk SummaryMarket risk is bullish — Fear & Greed is in Greed territory (65/100), VIX at 18.44, and sector momentum is led by AI Memory / HBM (+4.05%).
Stress Test Engine
What happens if markets enter a stress scenario?
Stress Test Engine
10 scenarios
ScenarioImpactWorst HoldingsDefensiveConfidence
Scenario Builder
What if I create my own macro scenario?
Scenario Builder
S&P 5000%
NASDAQ0%
VIX Δ0%
10Y Yield Δ (bps)0bps
USD/ILS Δ0%
Oil Δ0%
Gold Δ0%
BTC Δ0%
VIX Risk Intelligence
How is volatility behaving, and what hedge tools fit this environment?
VIX Risk Intelligence
Normal · VIX 13–18
16.05VIX
Daily Δ
-2.31%
Weekly Δ
+4.8%
20D Avg
17.2
50D Avg
18.9
Signal
Balanced risk environment
Calm
Normal
Elevated
Stress
Panic
VIX Term StructureContango
SpotVX1VX2VX3VX6162024
Spot
16.05
VX1
17.1
VX2
18.25
VX3
19
VX6
21.4
Contango indicates normal risk conditions — market participants expect volatility to rise over time, typical in calm periods. Backwardation would indicate stress or panic.
VIX Hedge Simulator
StrategyCostProtectionDecay RiskComplexityBest ForSuitability
SPY Protective Put0.6%MediumLowMediumBroad market hedgeIntermediate
VIX Call Option0.8%HighHighHighShort-term crash protectionAdvanced
VIX ETF (UVXY/VXX)1.2%HighExtremeHighVolatility spike playAdvanced
Inverse Equity ETF0.5%MediumMediumMediumBear market hedgeIntermediate
Cash Increase (+10%)0%LowNoneLowCapital preservationAll
Gold Hedge (GLD)0.1%LowLowLowMacro / crisis hedgeAll
Bond Hedge (TLT)0.1%MediumLowLowEquity flight to safetyAll
Volatility products (VIX ETFs, options) may suffer from time decay and are generally unsuitable for long-term holding. Consult a financial professional before implementing any hedge strategy.
Correlation Under Stress
Will diversification still work during stress?
Correlation Under Stress
AAPLMSFTNVDATSLABTCGLDSPYTLT
AAPL1.000.820.710.540.22-0.150.88-0.32
MSFT0.821.000.820.740.520.23-0.120.90
NVDA0.710.821.000.740.670.29-0.100.84
TSLA0.540.740.741.000.750.39-0.180.72
BTC0.220.520.670.751.000.460.150.43
GLD-0.150.230.290.390.461.00-0.18-0.20
SPY0.88-0.12-0.10-0.180.15-0.181.00-0.45
TLT-0.320.900.840.720.43-0.20-0.451.00
Normal Correlation
0.42
Stress Correlation
0.78
Diversif. Risk
High
During market stress, average correlation rose from 0.42 to 0.78. Diversification may weaken as risky assets become more correlated — GLD and TLT remain the best diversifiers.
Tail Risk & Budget
What hidden extreme risk exists? Is portfolio risk allocation aligned with the plan?
Tail Risk Monitor
Elevated
76/ 100
Tail Risk Score: 76/100
Main Driver: Crypto + High Beta Tech
Crisis Correlation
0.82
High-Beta Exposure
34%
Crypto Risk Contrib.
21%
Low Liquidity Exp.
6%
Leverage Exposure
0%
Unprofitable Growth
12%
Suggested Actions
Reduce high-beta tech exposure (NVDA, TSLA)
Add defensive assets (GLD, TLT, Utilities)
Raise cash allocation to 8-10%
Add BTC protective hedge or reduce position
Risk Budgeting
StocksWatch
Target
60%
Actual
68%
Deviation
+8%
BondsUnder
Target
10%
Actual
6%
Deviation
-4%
CommoditiesUnder
Target
8%
Actual
4%
Deviation
-4%
CryptoExtreme
Target
8%
Actual
21%
Deviation
+13%
CashUnder
Target
10%
Actual
5%
Deviation
-5%
AlternativesUnder
Target
4%
Actual
0%
Deviation
-4%
Crypto is Extreme budget overrun. Reduce crypto exposure or hedge BTC volatility to bring risk contribution back within the 8% target budget.
What Changed Today
What changed today, and why is portfolio risk different now?
What Changed Today
Live · 20 / 10 / 2026
Risk Score Change
Previous
68
→
Current
74
+6
Increasing Risk
NVDATSLABTC
Reducing Risk
GLDTLTCash
Risk Change Drivers
NVDA volatility
+2.1pts
VIX rose +12%
+1.8pts
NASDAQ correlation
+1.3pts
BTC drawdown risk
+0.9pts
GLD hedge active
-0.5pts
Institutional Risk Report
Concise end-of-page risk conclusion
Institutional Risk Conclusion
20 / 10 / 2026
Overall Risk Regime
ELEVATED

Risk score 74/100. Portfolio is concentrated in high-volatility assets beyond comfortable thresholds.

Main Portfolio Weakness
Crypto overweight

BTC contributes 21.7% of total risk on only 5% weight. Well above the 8% budget target.

Primary Hedge Idea
BTC put / trim NVDA

Reduce crypto allocation or add BTC put protection. Trim NVDA to bring beta exposure lower.

Best Action Today
Trim NVDA, add GLD

NVDA volatility spiked +2.1pts today. Adding gold provides macro hedge with low decay.

What To Monitor Next
VIX > 20, NVDA earnings

Watch for VIX crossing 20 (Elevated regime). NVDA earnings catalyst may amplify existing volatility.

Risk Analyst Note
Portfolio asymmetry

Upside is capped by concentration. Tail risk is elevated. Diversification benefit weakens under stress scenarios.

No risk profiles saved. Create one to track your target allocation.

Risk analysis is for educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.